Incarn Word
W-L: (12-19) PR = 94.3902Schedule/Results All Games
Date Opponent Conf/State (W-L, PR) Score 1103 H Colorado St MW (21-13, 96.7) 64-98 1107 A JARCH **-60 1111 A SWCRS **-70 1116 H Indiana B10 (18-14, 97.3) 61-69 1120 A So Indiana OV ( 7-24, 93.2) 87-81 1122 H High Point BSO (30- 6, 96.3) 80-91 1126 A TEXLU **-55 1201 A McNeese SL M (26- 7, 96.8) 71-67 1206 H Nicholls SL N (14-19, 94.8) 67-74 1208 H New Orleans SL U (15-18, 95.1) 83-84 1215 H TCU B12 (24-12, 98.0) 65-69 1221 A No Arizona BS (11-22, 94.3) 90-66 1230 A Soea LA SL S ( 9-22, 94.1) 79-70 103 A Houston Chr SL H (12-20, 94.2) 73-56 105 H UTRGV SL (18-14, 95.3) 67-80 110 H Lamar SL L (12-19, 94.4) 51-63 112 H SF Austin SL (28- 6, 96.3) 46-56 117 A Nowestern St SL (10-22, 94.1) 76-74 119 H Ea Texas A&M SL E (11-20, 94.2) 58-80 124 H TX A&M-CC SL A (18-15, 95.2) 71-79 127 H Houston Chr SL H (12-20, 94.2) 75-81 131 H UTRGV SL (18-14, 95.3) 93-** 202 A TX A&M-CC SL A (18-15, 95.2) 71-69 207 H McNeese SL M (26- 7, 96.8) 64-81 209 H Soea LA SL S ( 9-22, 94.1) 62-74 214 H Nicholls SL N (14-19, 94.8) 83-91 216 H New Orleans SL U (15-18, 95.1) 64-78 221 A Ea Texas A&M SL E (11-20, 94.2) 82-73 223 H Nowestern St SL (10-22, 94.1) 49-54 228 A Lamar SL L (12-19, 94.4) 72-60 302 H SF Austin SL (28- 6, 96.3) 68-76
PREDICTION LIST
-------------------------------------
|Real = actual goal margin |
|Pred = predicted goal margin |
|+ = slightly above prediction |
|++ = above prediction |
|+++ = well above prediction |
|- = slightly below prediction |
|-- = below prediction |
|--- = well below prediction |
|Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-) |
| prediction. N/A when ten |
| goal limit is exceeded |
|n/a = Outside division |
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Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals*
1103 H Colorado St 64-98 -34 -2 0.00
1116 H Indiana 61-69 -8 -3 0.00
1120 A So Indiana 87-81 6 1 0.79
1122 H High Point 80-91 -11 -2 -0.06
1201 A McNeese 71-67 4 -2 ++ 4.00
1206 H Nicholls 67-74 -7 0 -1.62
1208 H New Orleans 83-84 -1 -1 -0.27
1215 H TCU 65-69 -4 -4 0.00
1221 A No Arizona 90-66 24 0 1.94
1230 A Soea LA 79-70 9 0 1.76
103 A Houston Chr 73-56 17 0 1.84
105 H UTRGV 67-80 -13 -1 -1.07
110 H Lamar 51-63 -12 0 -1.95
112 H SF Austin 46-56 -10 -2 -0.08
117 A Nowestern St 76-74 2 0 1.68
119 H Ea Texas A&M 58-80 -22 0 - -2.17
124 H TX A&M-CC 71-79 -8 -1 -1.16
127 H Houston Chr 75-81 -6 0 - -2.18
131 H UTRGV 93-** -13 -1 -1.07
202 A TX A&M-CC 71-69 2 -1 + 2.86
207 H McNeese 64-81 -17 -2 0.00
209 H Soea LA 62-74 -12 0 - -2.26
214 H Nicholls 83-91 -8 0 -1.62
216 H New Orleans 64-78 -14 -1 -1.27
221 A Ea Texas A&M 82-73 9 0 1.85
223 H Nowestern St 49-54 -5 0 - -2.34
228 A Lamar 72-60 12 0 + 2.07
302 H SF Austin 68-76 -8 -2 -0.08
|
UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* 119 H Ea Texas A&M 58-80 -22 0 - -2.17 127 H Houston Chr 75-81 -6 0 - -2.18 209 H Soea LA 62-74 -12 0 - -2.26 223 H Nowestern St 49-54 -5 0 - -2.34 |
OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* 1201 A McNeese 71-67 4 -2 ++ 4.00 202 A TX A&M-CC 71-69 2 -1 + 2.86 228 A Lamar 72-60 12 0 + 2.07 |
division Games OnlyAverage number of games used in Games Correction = 33.01
Date Opponent (W-L PR) SCORE SAFE SAFE Home No Games SCI
Loss Win Field Correction Points
SLP SWP Advantage Factor
3 H Colorado St (21-13, 96.7) 64-98 -3.21 4.26 -0.01 1.18 -1.90
3 H Indiana (18-14, 97.3) 61-69 -2.58 4.89 -0.01 1.18 -1.53
3 A So Indiana ( 7-24, 93.2) 87-81 -6.73 1.00 0.01 1.18 2.38
3 H High Point (30- 6, 96.3) 80-91 -3.56 3.92 -0.01 1.18 -2.10
3 A McNeese (26- 7, 96.8) 71-67 -3.11 4.37 0.01 1.18 10.32
3 H Nicholls (14-19, 94.8) 67-74 -5.12 2.36 -0.01 1.18 -3.02
3 H New Orleans (15-18, 95.1) 83-84 -4.77 2.71 -0.01 1.18 -2.82
3 H TCU (24-12, 98.0) 65-69 -1.89 5.58 -0.01 1.18 -1.12
3 A No Arizona (11-22, 94.3) 90-66 -5.58 1.90 0.01 1.18 4.50
3 A Soea LA ( 9-22, 94.1) 79-70 -5.76 1.72 0.01 1.18 4.08
3 A Houston Chr (12-20, 94.2) 73-56 -5.68 1.79 0.01 1.18 4.25
3 H UTRGV (18-14, 95.3) 67-80 -4.57 2.91 -0.01 1.18 -2.70
3 H Lamar (12-19, 94.4) 51-63 -5.45 2.02 -0.01 1.18 -3.22
3 H SF Austin (28- 6, 96.3) 46-56 -3.58 3.89 -0.01 1.18 -2.12
3 A Nowestern St (10-22, 94.1) 76-74 -5.84 1.64 0.01 1.18 3.88
3 H Ea Texas A&M (11-20, 94.2) 58-80 -5.67 1.81 -0.01 1.18 -3.35
3 H TX A&M-CC (18-15, 95.2) 71-79 -4.66 2.82 -0.01 1.18 -2.75
3 H Houston Chr (12-20, 94.2) 75-81 -5.68 1.79 -0.01 1.18 -3.36
3 H UTRGV (18-14, 95.3) 93-** -4.57 2.91 -0.01 1.18 -2.70
3 A TX A&M-CC (18-15, 95.2) 71-69 -4.66 2.82 0.01 1.18 6.67
3 H McNeese (26- 7, 96.8) 64-81 -3.11 4.37 -0.01 1.18 -1.84
3 H Soea LA ( 9-22, 94.1) 62-74 -5.76 1.72 -0.01 1.18 -3.40
3 H Nicholls (14-19, 94.8) 83-91 -5.12 2.36 -0.01 1.18 -3.02
3 H New Orleans (15-18, 95.1) 64-78 -4.77 2.71 -0.01 1.18 -2.82
3 A Ea Texas A&M (11-20, 94.2) 82-73 -5.67 1.81 0.01 1.18 4.28
3 H Nowestern St (10-22, 94.1) 49-54 -5.84 1.64 -0.01 1.18 -3.45
3 A Lamar (12-19, 94.4) 72-60 -5.45 2.02 0.01 1.18 4.80
3 H SF Austin (28- 6, 96.3) 68-76 -3.58 3.89 -0.01 1.18 -2.12
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-4.17
|
winning pts = 45.1625 losing points = -49.3308
SCI ={(SLP or SLW) +/- home-field advantage} * Game Correction.
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| (W-L PR) = Won-loss record and power rating |
| SCORE = game score |
| SAFE Loss (SLP) = Points deducted for losing to the opponent |
| SAFE Win (SWP) = Points awarded for defeating the opponent |
| Home-field Advantage = goals deducted/awarded for site |
| No games correction = normalzation based on a ~16 game schedule |
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